FORECAST MODEL

2026 Senate & Governor Ratings

Data-driven projections based on the Pollfinity generic ballot, state-level trackers, and candidate fundamentals.

Pollfinity logo
pollfinity.com
Pollfinity Research Forecast Desk
Modeled Generic Ballot (Live Average)
Loading...
2026 Senate Ratings
50
Democrats
45
Republicans
5
Tossups

Key Tossup Races

  • Texas D +1.2
  • Nebraska TIED
  • Iowa R +0.8
  • Ohio D +1.5
  • South Carolina R +1.1
2026 Governor Ratings
25
Democrats
21
Republicans
4
Tossups

Key Tossup Races

  • New York D +2.1
  • Pennsylvania D +0.5
  • Michigan R +0.4
  • Georgia D +1.1