GOVERNOR MODEL

2026 Governor Ratings Detail

A deeper governor page with race buckets, margins, and a short-form battleground list.

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Pollfinity Governor Model
Battleground States

Closest Governor Races

Pennsylvania
Open seat, mixed environment
D +0.5
Michigan
Competitive open-seat map
R +0.4
Georgia
Elastic electorate, turnout-sensitive
D +1.1
New York
Pollfinity Research · June 2026 · Hochul 50%, Blakeman 40%
D +11
Florida
Red environment, still worth watching
R +3.8
Ohio
Right-leaning state, candidate quality matters
R +4.2
Statewide Summary

Bucket Counts

25Dem Seats
21Rep Seats
4Tossups

Ratings are built from the Pollfinity generic ballot average, state-level polling, and race fundamentals, and are updated as new state polling is published. See Methodology for how underlying survey data is collected.